Iran, weakened by attacks on its allies, braces for Israeli strikes
Washington Post-oct20th2024
Despite official efforts to project strength, however, the depth of the crisis for Iran is clear: Israel is crushing Tehran’s allies in the region, making it more vulnerable to attack. And while the United States has sought to limit the scope of Israel’s response, the strikes could destabilize Iran’s fragile economy, stir divisions among government opponents and undercut hopes that the country’s new, pro-reform president would usher in an era of engagement with the West.
“We have made tremendous efforts in recent days to contain an all-out war in our region,” Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said during a visit to Baghdad last week, part of a whirlwind diplomatic tour across the Middle East to shore up support ahead of the strikes. “We are not afraid of war, we are ready for war, but at the same time we don’t want war,” he told reporters at a news conference with his Iraqi counterpart.
Iran’s leaders view Israel as increasingly unrestrained, analysts say, as it barrels through the region, ignoring pleas by the Biden administration to scale back the bombing and protect civilians in places such as Gaza and Beirut. In the past few months, Israeli intelligence and military forces have assassinated the leaders of Hezbollah and Hamas, invaded southern Lebanon and sent more troops into the Gaza Strip, where they have recently laid siege to the Jabalya refugee camp in the north.
“They have come to the conclusion that Israel wants to eliminate all of its threats,” Vali Nasr, a Middle East expert and senior professor at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, said of the leadership in Tehran. “That includes Hamas, Hezbollah and Iran.”
Iran attacked Israel on Oct. 1 as retaliation for the killings of Hamas leader Ismail Haniyeh in Tehran in July and Hezbollah chief Hasan Nasrallah in Beirut last month. The strike on Nasrallah also killed a general from Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, Abbas Nilforoushan.
Iran fired around 180 ballistic missiles at Israel, and at least two dozen munitions broke through the country’s air defenses, according to a Washington Post analysis. It was the second time Iran attacked Israel directly, after it fired off hundreds of missiles and drones in April. That attack was retaliation for an Israeli strike that killed two senior Iranian commanders at Iran’s consulate in Damascus.
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